Post by : Mina Saadi
In 2025, Pakistan finds itself grappling with its deadliest bout of violence in a decade, marked by escalating gun battles, airstrikes, and suicide bombings. Recent statistics reveal that around 4,000 individuals have perished due to insurgent actions—surpassing previous years' numbers since 2015. Throughout the year, over 1,000 violent occurrences, including bombings and armed confrontations, significantly impacted civilians, military forces, and militants alike.
The uptick in violence is closely tied to the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), a militant organization linked with the Taliban regime in Afghanistan. Pakistan has accused Kabul's leadership of providing sanctuary and support to TTP members, a claim denied by the Afghan Taliban. In contrast, Kabul argues that it has restricted Afghans from joining foreign conflicts and asserts that Pakistani military operations have exacerbated tensions.
This year's escalation includes a significant suicide bombing that claimed the lives of seven Pakistani soldiers in North Waziristan, followed by allegations of Pakistani airstrikes in Afghanistan’s northeastern border areas—charges Islamabad refutes.
Initial efforts by Turkey and Qatar to facilitate peace negotiations between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban quickly fell through, resulting in continued cross-border skirmishes. Relations have deteriorated since the Taliban's resurgence in 2021. Islamabad had anticipated that the new Afghan government would mitigate the TTP threat; instead, the militants have become increasingly assertive.
The focus of the TTP has shifted from retaliating against Pakistan's involvement in the US-led Afghan conflict to attempting to unseat the Pakistani government and impose strict Islamic law. They dispute the Durand Line, the historic boundary separating the two nations, which the Afghan Taliban also contests.
Currently, Pakistan ranks as the second most terror-impacted nation globally. The TTP has acquired sophisticated weaponry, including drones and night-vision capabilities, much of which originates from abandoned US military resources in Afghanistan. An estimated 8,500 TTP operatives function primarily from Afghan territory, utilizing the porous border to execute assaults.
For the Afghan Taliban, confronting the TTP could jeopardize their alliances and potentially drive fighters into the arms of other extremist factions like ISIS and Al Qaeda, complicating resolution efforts.
This conflict has detrimental effects on trade and economic stability. Border disputes and closures have severely hindered commerce, causing Pakistani exports to Afghanistan to drop over 90% within a year, exacerbating domestic inflation. Additionally, refugees are caught in the turmoil, as Pakistan, which hosts nearly two million Afghans, has deported tens of thousands deemed illegal.
In Pakistan’s politically charged environment, where military leadership prevails, diplomatic solutions are often sidelined for more militaristic approaches. Experts caution that without genuine political engagement, the campaign against terrorism may falter.
Simultaneously, Pakistan has expressed rising apprehension regarding India’s rumored backing of the TTP, as New Delhi strengthens its ties with the Afghan Taliban and deliberates new trade routes that circumvent Pakistan.
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