Post by : Raina Mansoor
Prime Minister Mark Carney has narrowly secured the survival of his minority Liberal government after Canada’s Parliament approved his first federal budget by a razor-thin margin. The dramatic vote, which passed 170 to 168, prevents an early national election and sets the stage for one of the largest deficit expansions in Canadian history.
Carney’s fiscal plan raises the projected national deficit to C$78 billion, making it the second-largest budget in the nation’s history. The Prime Minister, a former top central banker in both Canada and the UK, has defended the budget as a “generational investment” designed to strengthen the economy at a moment of global uncertainty.
A Minority Government in Crisis Mode
With the Liberals holding 169 seats—two short of a majority—the survival of the budget depended on rare cooperation from opposition MPs. Even if every Liberal MP voted in favour, Carney still needed outside support or multiple abstentions from rival parties to avoid a politically devastating defeat.
That support came from a combination of abstentions and one crucial “yes” vote.
Two NDP MPs abstained, as did House Speaker Francis Scarpaleggia, who only votes to break ties. Conservative MPs Shannon Stubbs and Matt Jeneroux also abstained, with Jeneroux having recently announced his resignation.
But it was Green Party leader Elizabeth May who ultimately delivered the decisive backing Carney needed. She said she supported the budget only after receiving personal assurances from the Prime Minister that he would remain committed to Canada’s climate targets.
“Without what I heard from the Prime Minister today, I would have voted no,” May told reporters after the vote.
Opposition Outrage Over Spending Surge
The Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, fiercely opposed the budget. Poilievre denounced it as a “credit card budget,” accusing the Liberals of gambling with Canada’s future amid a worsening affordability crisis.
“The Prime Minister’s costly deficit gambles our future on the national credit card,” Poilievre said during the heated debate.
The Bloc Québécois also voted against the proposal, arguing the Liberals had failed to deliver real solutions for rising housing costs and ongoing economic strain across provinces.
Even within Liberal ranks, concerns simmered. MP Nathaniel Erskine-Smith supported the budget but warned that it fell short on addressing Canada’s housing crisis and stalled climate progress.
What the Budget Promises
The fiscal plan outlines C$140 billion in new spending over the next five years aimed at boosting productivity, innovation, and global competitiveness. Key components include:
Major upgrades to ports and national trade infrastructure
Policies geared toward doubling exports to non-US markets over the next decade
Support for businesses impacted by US tariffs on Canadian products
Government projections of C$1 trillion in private investment generated over the next five years
To offset the massive spending, Carney has proposed cutting the federal workforce by 10%—a move widely criticized by public sector unions, who warn it will slow government services and reduce efficiency instead of improving it.
Political Drama Behind the Budget Battle
The budget debate unfolded amid significant political turbulence. A Conservative MP defected to the Liberals shortly after the fiscal plan’s release, citing discomfort with Poilievre’s “negative” political style. Days later, another Conservative MP resigned to focus on family, further destabilising the opposition.
These departures fuelled fresh questions around Poilievre’s leadership. Despite the internal unrest, he insisted he intends to remain in the role.
“My plan is to continue to lead and be the only leader fighting for an affordable Canada where people who work hard can afford a home and food,” he told reporters.
A High-Stakes Victory for Carney
For Carney, the narrow approval of his budget marks a critical political victory. It secures the stability of his minority government—for now—and allows him to advance his ambitious economic agenda.
But the fallout is far from over. With a soaring deficit, sharp political divides, and growing frustration among Canadians facing rising costs, the pressure on Carney’s leadership is set to intensify.
Parliament may have passed the budget, but the real test—governing through an era of economic strain and political fragmentation—has only just begun.
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