Russia May Shorten Nuclear Weapons Use Decision Time, Lawmaker Reveals

Photo : AFP

Last month, President Vladimir Putin hinted at potential revisions to Russia's official nuclear doctrine, which outlines the conditions under which the country would consider using nuclear weapons. This statement comes amidst heightened tensions stemming from the war in Ukraine, which has escalated Russia's standoff with the West to levels not seen since the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962.

Andrei Kartapolov, chairman of the Russian lower house of parliament's defence committee, recently suggested that Russia might shorten the decision-making time for deploying nuclear weapons if perceived threats increase. Speaking to state news agency RIA, Kartapolov emphasized that any adjustments to the doctrine regarding nuclear weapon use would depend on evolving security challenges.

Russia's current nuclear doctrine, updated in 2020, specifies scenarios where the country's president would contemplate using nuclear arms, primarily in response to a nuclear or other weapons of mass destruction attack, or when conventional weapons threaten the state's existence.

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The geopolitical landscape is increasingly fraught with Russia and the United States accounting for approximately 88% of global nuclear stockpiles, as reported by the Federation of American Scientists. Both nations continue to modernize their nuclear arsenals amid China's rapid expansion of its nuclear capabilities.

While Putin recently assured that nuclear weapons were unnecessary to secure victory in Ukraine, he also acknowledged the possibility of revising Russia's nuclear doctrine. This acknowledgment was seen as a concession to hardliners within Russia's leadership who advocate for more agile responses to potential nuclear escalation and a lower threshold for nuclear weapon use.

Moreover, Putin highlighted concerns about advancements in ultra-low-yield nuclear devices by adversaries, suggesting a need for doctrinal adjustments to maintain strategic parity. These developments underscore a broader erosion of Cold War-era arms control frameworks, raising concerns about a renewed global arms race.

Amidst these developments, the United States has indicated the potential need to expand its nuclear arsenal to deter threats from Russia, China, and other emerging adversaries. The evolving nuclear dynamics underscore the complex interplay of military strategy, deterrence theory, and international diplomacy shaping global security in the 21st century.

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