Post by : Layla Badr
India on Thursday issued a stern warning to Pakistan, stating that any misadventure in the Sir Creek sector would invite a decisive response. Defence Minister Rajnath Singh emphasized that the reply would be “so strong it could change both history and geography,” highlighting the growing friction in the region.
The Disputed Marshlands
Sir Creek, a 96-kilometre tidal estuary along the India-Pakistan border, may appear as uninhabited marshland, yet it remains a sensitive geopolitical hotspot. Flowing into the Arabian Sea, the creek separates India’s Gujarat from Pakistan’s Sindh province. The dispute over Sir Creek stems from conflicting interpretations of the boundary laid out in the early 20th century and remains unresolved despite decades of talks.
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India argues that the thalweg principle—the boundary along the middle of the navigable channel—applies here, supported by maps and mid-channel markers. Pakistan, on the other hand, claims the creek entirely for Sindh, insisting the thalweg principle does not apply to tidal estuaries. Shifts in the creek’s course further complicate maritime boundary claims, affecting Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) and continental shelves.
Economic and Strategic Stakes
While the marshlands themselves hold limited military value, Sir Creek carries considerable economic significance. The region is believed to contain oil and gas reserves, and control over it influences maritime rights in the Arabian Sea. Local fishers frequently face arrests due to boundary disputes, and India has raised concerns over Pakistan’s LBOD canal, which discharges saline and industrial water into the creek—an issue linked to the Indus Waters Treaty.
Rising Military Presence
The past few years have seen a marked increase in military infrastructure from both sides. Pakistan has deployed new Creek Battalions, coastal defence boats, marine assault crafts, and strengthened its air defences with radars and surveillance aircraft. India, maintaining vigilance post-2008 Mumbai attacks, has reinforced its border security through the BSF and coastal units. Incidents like abandoned boats in 2019 prompted security alerts, underlining the region’s vulnerability.
As tensions simmer, Sir Creek remains a delicate flashpoint between India and Pakistan. While dialogue continues intermittently, the recent military buildups signal that both nations are preparing for contingencies, making the estuary a focal point of regional security and maritime strategy.
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