Photo : AP
The Chinese government has chosen to refrain from making any official comments regarding the U.S. presidential election, expressing concerns over accusations of interference in American domestic politics. This stance was outlined by Jia Qingguo, a member of the Standing Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), a key advisory body within the Chinese government.
Speaking on Thursday, Jia Qingguo acknowledged that, while China prefers to remain neutral in the U.S. elections, there is a preference within certain circles for Kamala Harris over Donald Trump as the next U.S. president. He explained that this sentiment arises due to the sharp decline in U.S.-China relations during Trump’s time in office, which saw increasing confrontations between the two superpowers. The CPPCC member suggested that many in China would rather avoid a repeat of that experience, favoring a candidate who represents continuity and stability in U.S. foreign policy.
Jia Qingguo emphasized that the Chinese government’s official position is to avoid any comments that could be construed as meddling in U.S. internal affairs, in line with its longstanding policy of non-intervention. He also added that public opinion in China is somewhat divided when it comes to the U.S. election, but the deterioration in bilateral relations during Trump’s presidency has left a lasting negative impression on many Chinese citizens and officials.
Jia, who is also the director of the Institute of Global Cooperation and Understanding at Peking University, explained that China had a "bad experience" with Trump, pointing out that Trump’s presidency was marked by a volatile and emotional approach to diplomacy with China. Relations between the two countries hit a low point, with sharp confrontations on a variety of issues, including trade, technology, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Trump imposed heavy tariffs on Chinese goods, triggering a trade war that severely impacted China's economy. Additionally, his administration repeatedly criticized China’s handling of the pandemic, with Trump himself frequently blaming China for the global spread of the virus, going so far as to claim that it was leaked from a laboratory in Wuhan, the city where the outbreak first began.
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According to Jia, Trump’s handling of U.S.-China relations caused significant disruptions, and as a result, there is a belief among some that Kamala Harris, having served as vice president under Joe Biden, would continue a more stable and predictable approach. Although the Biden administration has maintained many of the tough policies that Trump initiated, particularly in areas like trade tariffs and military posturing in the South China Sea, Jia noted that the overall relationship has been less confrontational under Biden. He highlighted the continued dialogue between Chinese and U.S. officials, with efforts to re-engage and stabilize the relationship being an encouraging sign for Beijing.
However, Jia acknowledged that China still has issues with the Biden administration. Biden has inherited several of Trump’s hardline measures, driven by both domestic political considerations and ideological convictions. Nevertheless, Jia argued that Biden’s approach is seen as more manageable than Trump’s, as it allows for greater predictability and ongoing discussions, even in the face of disagreements.
One of the key concerns for Beijing is Trump’s potential return to office, particularly his threats to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 60 percent if re-elected. This could have a significant negative impact on China's economy, which is already facing challenges, including a slowdown in growth. Trump's protectionist trade policies, which focused on curbing Chinese exports to the U.S., were particularly damaging. During his presidency, Trump levied tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of Chinese products, with the aim of forcing China to open up its market to more American goods.
The Biden administration has maintained many of these tariffs, and the trade imbalance between the two nations remains stark. In 2023, Chinese exports to the U.S. amounted to over $500 billion, while U.S. exports to China stood at just $148 billion. This lopsided trade relationship continues to be a point of tension, but Jia believes that under Biden, these issues can be managed through dialogue and negotiation.
In contrast, a Trump victory could potentially escalate these tensions once again, especially if he follows through on his pledge to impose even steeper tariffs. For China, the prospect of renewed economic confrontation with the U.S. is worrying, and while the Chinese government remains officially neutral, it is clear that many in Beijing are hoping for a different outcome in the upcoming election.
Despite the internal preferences and concerns within China, Jia stressed that the government will not interfere in the U.S. presidential election, reiterating that Beijing is committed to respecting American sovereignty and refraining from actions that could be interpreted as meddling. This cautious approach reflects China’s broader diplomatic strategy, which seeks to avoid unnecessary conflicts with the U.S. while navigating the complexities of their bilateral relationship.
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