Canada is poised to significantly cut its annual permanent resident target to approximately 395,000 for the upcoming year, marking a notable 21% decrease from the previously established goal of 500,000. This reduction, the first of its kind in over a decade, reflects a shift in immigration policy by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government, which has historically embraced high levels of immigration.
A government official, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the information, confirmed that the immigration target would continue to decrease in the following years, with projections set at roughly 380,000 for 2026 and 365,000 for 2027. Immigration Minister Marc Miller is expected to present these final figures to Parliament on Thursday morning, as reported by various sources.
The adjustment comes in the wake of an unprecedented wave of immigration that began after the easing of travel restrictions in 2022. This surge resulted in record population growth comparable to adding an entire city's worth of residents—in this case, all of San Diego—within a year to a nation slightly more populous than California. Such rapid influxes have contributed to escalating housing shortages, inflated rent prices, and increased strain on public services, leading to a rise in the unemployment rate.
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The growing pressures on infrastructure and public services have challenged the long-standing belief among Canadians that mass immigration is essential for maintaining a competitive edge in attracting young, skilled workers necessary to mitigate the impacts of an aging population. Recent surveys indicate that public sentiment is increasingly against current immigration levels, marking the most significant opposition in over 25 years.
While permanent residents have traditionally been a critical component of Canada’s immigration strategy, recent years have seen a shift in the demographic landscape. Temporary residents, including those who come to Canada for studies or work under temporary visas, have outnumbered permanent residents. This trend has drawn criticism towards Trudeau's government for what many perceive as a lack of control over immigration policies.
In response to this situation, the Trudeau administration has set ambitious goals to reduce the temporary resident population over the next three years. Plans include limiting the intake of international students and imposing stricter regulations on the employment of foreign labor. On Thursday, Trudeau and Miller are expected to announce the inaugural annual target for temporary migrants, indicating a new approach to managing Canada's immigration system.
The government's shift in immigration policy reflects a broader reconsideration of the challenges associated with rapid population growth and the need for a more sustainable and manageable immigration framework. The decisions made in the coming days are likely to have lasting implications for Canada's demographic landscape and its approach to immigration in the years ahead.
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