Post by : Raina Mansoor
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is on course for a decisive victory in the Bihar state elections, according to early vote counts released on Friday. The projected win marks a significant boost for Modi after a challenging national election last year, where his party lost its parliamentary majority.
Bihar, India’s third-most-populous state with nearly 130 million residents, is a crucial political battleground. It sends the fifth-highest number of lawmakers to Parliament, making control of the state a key factor in shaping national politics and the broader Hindi heartland narrative.
The Election Commission of India data showed the NDA leading in more than 170 seats, well above the majority mark of 122 in the state assembly. Television reports indicated the alliance could secure up to 191 seats, a potential gain of 69 seats compared to the last election cycle.
“Bihar’s mandate is clear!” the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) tweeted. “The people have made it clear — now development is the identity. Not jungle raj, good governance is needed!”
Political analysts note that one decisive factor in the Bihar elections was Modi’s September initiative to transfer 75 billion rupees ($853 million) to millions of women under a state employment program. The move appears to have energized female voters, who have increasingly influenced electoral outcomes in India over the past decade.
Amitabh Tiwari, a political analyst who conducted surveys across Bihar, highlighted that women voters were instrumental in the NDA’s projected success. According to Tiwari’s VoteVibe survey, Modi’s coalition secured 48.5% of the female vote, exceeding the main opposition bloc by over 10 percentage points.
The Bihar victory signals a political rebound for Modi, who has steadily regained momentum through state-level contests following last year’s national election setback. The win also positions the NDA strongly ahead of upcoming elections in Assam, West Bengal, and Tamil Nadu, states slated to vote next year, where the BJP currently governs only Assam.
The Bihar outcome demonstrates the effectiveness of development-focused policies and targeted voter outreach, reinforcing Modi’s strategy of combining welfare initiatives with strong governance messaging. Analysts suggest the result may set the tone for national politics, potentially strengthening the NDA’s position in the lead-up to future parliamentary contests.
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